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2014 Midterm Senate Toss-up Seats Political Projections – Final

Politisite Political Projections – 2014 Senate Midterm Election Methodology: Politisite Political Projections takes in to consideration many factors when utilizing a particular poll for our model. We weigh polls differently based on their previous general election accuracy. We toss polls that have a Margin of Error (MoE) that exceeds +/-5%. We further take in to consideration the pollsters assumptions of the makeup of the electorate by considering the average PVI […]

senatetakeover

GOP Senate Takeover Chances 60 Percent

For the last month, we’ve been adding one or two polls a day to The Upshot’s Senate forecasting model. Today, we update all 36 races, based on estimates from a YouGov online panel that covers every congressional and governor’s race across the country. The panel, asked for its preferences in collaboration with CBS and The New York Times, is unusual in its scope: It comprises more than 66,000 people living […]

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Georgia: With Perdue in, Nunn now an underdog

Nate Cohn chose today to drop his story on how demographic trends bring Georgia surprisingly within reach for Democrats. I guess that is true, but the timing is funny. The race was close to begin with, and then yesterday’s primary was a boost for the GOP. In my view, that is the real story. Like many, I expected Rep. Jack Kingston to be the Republican nominee in the Georgia Senate […]

phelps

Update: Anti-Gay Westboro Founder Fred Phelps Dies

Update: Fred Phelps, former head of Westboro Baptist Church, dead Fred Phelps Sr., the former head of the Westboro Baptist Church, died late Wednesday night, according to a family member… Margie Phelps, said there will be no funeral for him. The Mississippi-born leader of the controversial Westboro Baptist Church is on his deathbed, according to family members. Fred Phelps, 84, is in his last days at the Midland Hospice House […]

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Weighing in on the Crisis in Ukraine

The explosive regional divide in Ukraine between the pro-European Union west and the pro-Russian east and Crimean regions that caused Ukraine’s President Viktor Yanukovych to flee the country to Russia is only widening. Russia has pushed troops into the Crimean region of Ukraine, with the future possibility of either an indefinite presence or outright military invasion into Ukraine to restore Yanukovych to power. Over the past week, as events in […]