Posts Tagged ‘Michigan Primary’
Michigan Exit Polls High Conservative turnout and Democrats voting in GOP Primary
A divided Republican base is defining the Michigan GOP primary today, with Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum again playing to competing wings of the electorate. Santorum, in particular, is seeking advantage among strongly conservative voters. But perhaps controversially, one in 10 voters in the open primary are another stripe entirely – Democrats. That’s off their peak – 17 percent in 2000, when Democrats tipped the open primary to John McCain – but enough, potentially, to influence the outcome. Ideologically, six in 10 voters in Michigan today describe themselves as conservative, evenly split between “very” and “somewhat” conservative. Preliminary exit poll results indicate that very conservatives, a group on which Santorum has focused his efforts, may account for a [...]
Politisite Political Projections: Michigan Primary Tuesday February 28, 2012
Politisite provides projections based on a Momentum modality similar to that used in projecting stock prices. Politisite does NOT endorse any candidate during the primary process. Further, we do not receive funding from any political campaign. Having said that, here are our projections for the Michigan Primary for Tuesday February 28, 2012 Mitt Romney – 36.5% (Tie) Rick Santorum – 36.5% (Tie) Ron Paul – 12% Newt Gingrich – 9.5% Romney, Santorum, and Gingrich have flat momentum, Ron Paul has slight downward momentum. We believe that Romney will eek out a victory here. The Numbers tell us that either Romney or Santorum could win. Since we are dealing with a 4 percent margin of error, Either candidate could win by as much as 8 points. We think that the winner [...]
