Posts Tagged ‘Electoral College’
Obama wins Florida, Final Electoral Vote Tally Obama 332, Romney 206
Obama wins Florida, Final Electoral Vote Tally Obama 332, Romney 206 By Albert N. Milliron The votes have all been counted in Florida, the last of the states to declare a winner. In the final tally, Obama beat Challenger Mitt Romney by a mere 74,000 votes or 50.6% to 49.1%. Candidate Popular Vote Electoral Barack Obama 50.0% 4,236,032 29 Mitt Romney 49.1% 4,162,174 0 Google Politics & Elections. President Obama received 92,075 more votes than he did in 2008, Mitt Romney received 222,794 move votes than John McCain did in 2008. While President Obama lost millions of votes nationwide, he increased the number of votes that turned out in states that ultimately mattered in this [...]
Florida Election Results – 2012
FLORIDA General Election November 6, 2012 This page updates automatically « Back to U.S. Overview Map via Florida - Election 2012 General Compare All Counties Compare by County Candidate Party Votes % Romney / Ryan REP 4,162,174 49.13% Obama / Biden DEM 4,236,032 50.01% Stevens / Link OBJ 3,855 0.05% Johnson / Gray LBT 44,684 0.53% Goode, / Clymer CPF 2,602 0.03% Stein / Honkala GRE 8,930 0.11% Barnett / Cross REF 819 0.01% Alexander / Mendoza SOC 797 0.01% Lindsay / Osorio PSL 322 0% Barr / Sheehan PFP 8,146 0.1% Hoefling / Ellis AIP 944 0.01% Anderson / Rodriguez JPF 1,753 0.02% Byrne / Harris WRI 0 0% Coniglio / [...]
Politisite Political Projections – Electoral College – 2012
Politisite Political Projections – Electoral College – 2012 By Albert N. Milliron Methodology: Politisite Political Projections takes in to consideration many factors when utilizing a particular poll for our model. We weigh polls differently based on their previous general election accuracy. We toss polls that have a Margin of Error (MoE) that exceeds +/-5%. We further take in to consideration the pollsters assumptions of the makeup of the electorate by considering the average PVI for the State polled. Some pollsters continue to use a model that reflects party affiliation of the 2008 election. According to Gallup the make-up of the electorate, nationally at least, has changed from a D+11 to a nearly even distribution between Democrats and Republicans in 2012. [...]
Nine Electoral College predictions have Obama ahead
The Denver Post has put out a compilation of Nine Electoral College Maps that suggest an Obama win next Tuesday. It would probably have been better journalism to include those who disagree with the conclusion. For example, Michael Barone has come to a different conclusion. We at Politisite still see the race as a Toss-up as our map suggests. We also have provided our election Politisite Political Projections that show at least eight states are tossups and could go either way. But to be fair we thought it would be good for our readers to see what others are saying about the Obama, Romney Presidential election: With the clock ticking down to Election Day, most political prognosticators see President Obama winning re-election, though his Electoral College count [...]
Romney beats Obama, handily
Probably one of the greatest minds in County to County, District to District, State to State Politics, Michael Barone, has put his reputation on the line. He believes Mitt Romney will beat President Obama Handily. You can also see our Politisite Political Projections in comparison. Fundamentals usually prevail in American elections. That's bad news for Barack Obama. True, Americans want to think well of their presidents and many think it would be bad if Americans were perceived as rejecting the first black president. But it's also true that most voters oppose Obama's major policies and consider unsatisfactory the very sluggish economic recovery -- Friday's jobs report showed an unemployment uptick. Also, both national and target state polls show that independents, voters who [...]
Chance of Split Electoral-Popular Vote Very Real – Charlie Cook
Despite the playing field pretty much agreed upon, when you get down to the last handful or so of states, the best polling firms from each party are coming up with widely disparate results, with very different turnout assumptions as the best explanation for the disparity. With President Obama pulling 90 to 95 percent of the African-American vote, 70 percent of Latinos, and 60 percent of the 18- to 29-year-old vote, the turnout assumptions for each group make huge differences in a very close race. To the extent that any one, two or all three groups turn out in proportions similar to 2008, Obama would do significantly better than if each of the three votes in proportions more like 2000 or 2004 (adjusting for population changes in the three groups). It’s somewhat more complicated than [...]
Polling Report: October 16, 2012
by Bob Grundfest With three weeks to go before the election, and with all political eyes on the debate at Hofstra this evening, it's time to take a look at the latest polling and to establish some baselines for the poll-a-rama that will ensue in the coming days. The narrative since the first debate has been the Romney Rebound; the lift he's received in the polls since his performance at the first debate in Denver, and the negative reaction President Obama received after his less spirited effort. Some news outlets are already proclaiming that Romney has momentum and that it's only a matter of time before he overtakes the president in the swing state polls. My take is different. Let's look. The Real Clear Politics Index shows Romney with a 0.4 point lead on Obama in national [...]
What happens if there is a 269-269 Tie in the Electoral College?- Election 2012
With the 2012 Presidential getting closer just a few weeks before election day, folks are beginning to wonder what would happen if their were a 269-269 electoral vote tie in the electoral college. 269-269 Electoral Vote tie - Mitt Romney (red) and Barack Obama (blue). Image from CNN's Electoral College calculator. This week Real Clear Politics and other Electoral Map assemblers have removed nearly 50 electoral votes from the Obama column, leaving just a 20 vote difference between Obama and Romney. While no one wants there to be a crisis in the electoral college, there appears to be several scenarios that allow for such a tie. We came across an analysis article by the Washington Examiners Philip Klein. Here is what he had to say: As Mitt Romney continues to make gains in [...]
Electoral College Forecast Comparisons
FiveThirtyEight’s initial 2012 presidential forecast found President Obama as a slight favorite to win re-election. These projections are unique, both in means and ends, but the FiveThirtyEight model is operating in a crowded field. State-by-state race ratings have been published by The New York Times (these come from the politics desk and are distinct from FiveThirtyEight’s forecast), The Washington Post, RealClearPolitics, Pollster, CBS News and NPR (actually, many more projections are available, but these maps use the same five-level ratings scale, making comparisons easier). Although each map takes a slightly different approach to projecting state-by-state results, they all have Mr. Obama leading Mitt Romney in “solid” and “leaning” electoral votes. It’s in the [...]
2012 Electoral Vote Scorecard – Updated May 26, 2012
2012 ELECTORAL VOTE SCORECARD May 26, 2012 COOK POLITICAL REPORT ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTING RATINGS Solid Dem (14 states) Likely Dem (1 states) Lean Dem (4 states) Toss Up (8 states) Lean Rep (1 states) Likely Rep (4 states) Solid Rep (19 states) California (55) Connecticut (7) Delaware (3) Hawaii (4) Illinois (20) Maryland (10) Mass'setts (11) New Jersey (14) New York (29) Oregon (7) Rhode Island (4) Vermont (3) Washington (12) Dist. of Col. (3) Minnesota (10) Maine (4) Michigan (16) New Mexico (5) Wisconsin (10) Colorado (9) Florida (29) Iowa (6) Nevada (6) North Car. (15) Ohio (18) Pennsylvania (20) Virginia (13) New Hamp. (4) Arizona (11) Georgia (16) Indiana (11) Missouri (10) Alabama [...]
