Posts Tagged ‘Election’
Analysis: Most Accurate political polls from 2008 presidential election
2008 Pollster Report Card The table below is an assessment of pollster performance in the 2008 Presidential election. The pollsters were graded on both the accuracy of their final poll (popular vote) and the consistency of their polling during the month of October. The overall score is a weighted average of their Accuracy and Consistency numbers. The weighting is 75% accuracy and 25% consistency. Formula details are at the bottom of this page. Overall Poll Score Grade Accuracy Consistency Rasmussen Reports 91% A- 92% 86% Ipsos/McClatchy 89% B+ 92% 79% CNN/Opinion Research 88% B+ 92% 77% Fox [...]
Wake the F*ck Up! – A Rebuttal NSFW! – YouTube – Iron Mill News Service
Samuel L. Jackson’s “Wake the Fuck Up” video urges Americans to re-elect Barack Obama even as it chides the president’s supporters for a lack of enthusiasm. Why might voters be less than pleased with Obama? Reason TV responds with its own rhyme. Go to http://reason.com/reasontv/2012/09/28/wake-the-fck-up-a-rebuttal for downloadable versions, full links, and more. And go to http://reason.tv for more videos. Produced by Meredith Bragg and Nick Gillespie (who also narrates). About 1.30 minutes. Scroll down for downloadable versions and subscribe to Reason’s YouTube channel to get automatic notifications when new material goes live. via Wake the Fck Up! – A Rebuttal NSFW! – YouTube. via Wake the F*ck Up! - A Rebuttal NSFW! - YouTube - Iron Mill News Service.
Poll Popping For Numbers Junkies By Bob Grundfest
After a respite following the Supreme Court's decision in the health care case, a flurry of polls has been released in the past two days showing the presidential race nationally and in the states to be close, but slightly in the president's favor. The best news for Obama comes in a PPP poll of Wisconsin that shows Obama leading Romney by 50-44%. What makes this result even more impressive is that PPP had a D/R/I split of 30/32/38, while the Wisconsin state breakdown is D 38/ R 34/ I 28, thus under-counting Democrats and overcounting Independents. If Obama is +6 under those conditions, then Romney is in trouble if he wants to peel away this state. Further, a Marquette University poll shows Obama ahead 51-43% using likely voters and a D 29/R 33/I 36 breakdown. As with PPP, this [...]
Election 2012 – Arizona: Romney 49 vs. Obama 43
Arizona: Romney vs. Obama Polling Data Poll Date Sample Romney (R) Obama (D) Spread RCP Average 4/10 - 6/26 -- 49.3 42.5 Romney +6.8 Rasmussen Reports 6/26 - 6/26 500 LV 54 41 Romney +13 Project New America/PPP (D) 6/4 - 6/5 791 LV 49 46 Romney +3 Magellan (R) 4/30 - 5/2 909 LV 52 43 Romney +9 Arizona State 4/10 - 4/20 488 RV 42 40 Romney +2 See All Arizona: Romney vs. Obama Polling Data via RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - Arizona: Romney vs. Obama.
Obama Wins on Empathy, Romney on Ability to Manage Government
Copyright © 2012 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved. Gallup®, A8™, Business Impact Analysis™, CE11®, Clifton StrengthsFinder®, the 34 Clifton StrengthsFinder theme names, Customer Engagement Index™, Drop Club®, Emotional Economy™, Employee Engagement Index™, Employee Outlook Index™, Follow This Path™, Gallup Brain®, Gallup Consulting®, Gallup Business Journal™, Gallup Management Journal®, GMJ®, Gallup Press®, Gallup Publishing™, Gallup Tuesday Briefing®, Gallup University®, HumanSigma®, I10™, L3™, PrincipalInsight™, Q12®, SE25™, SF34®, SRI®, Strengths Spotlight™, Strengths-Based Selling™, StrengthsCoach™, StrengthsFinder®, StrengthsQuest™, TeacherInsight™, The Gallup Path®, The Gallup Poll®, and Wellbeing Finder™ are trademarks of [...]
Hispanic Voters Put Other Issues Before Immigration
PRINCETON, NJ -- U.S. Hispanics prioritize immigration, healthcare, and unemployment to equal degrees, according to a new USA Today/Gallup poll asking about the importance of six national policy issues. Twenty percent of Hispanics each mention one of the top three issues as mattering most to them, while 17% name economic growth, 11% name the gap between the rich and poor, and 7% name the federal budget deficit. Hispanic registered voters, however, put healthcare and all economic issues before immigration, which 12% name as their most important issue. The findings are based on Gallup Daily tracking interviews with 1,753 Hispanic adults in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia conducted April 16-May 31. The sample includes 1,005 Hispanic registered voters who, on a weighted [...]
Atheists, Muslims See Most Bias as Presidential Candidates
PRINCETON, NJ -- While more than nine in 10 Americans would vote for a presidential candidate who is black, a woman, Catholic, Hispanic, or Jewish, significantly smaller percentages would vote for one who is an atheist (54%) or Muslim (58%). Americans' willingness to vote for a Mormon (80%) or gay or lesbian (68%) candidate falls between these two extremes. The results are based on a June 7-10 Gallup poll, updating a question Gallup first asked in 1937 in reference to a female, Jewish, or Catholic candidate and has asked periodically since then, with additional candidate characteristics added to the list. The question has taken on added relevance in recent years as a more diverse group of candidates has run for president. This year, Mitt Romney is poised to become the first Mormon to win [...]
Nearly One in Five Americans Would Not Vote for a Mormon Presidential Candidate
Copyright © 2012 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved. Gallup®, A8™, Business Impact Analysis™, CE11®, Clifton StrengthsFinder®, the 34 Clifton StrengthsFinder theme names, Customer Engagement Index™, Drop Club®, Emotional Economy™, Employee Engagement Index™, Employee Outlook Index™, Follow This Path™, Gallup Brain®, Gallup Consulting®, Gallup Business Journal™, Gallup Management Journal®, GMJ®, Gallup Press®, Gallup Publishing™, Gallup Tuesday Briefing®, Gallup University®, HumanSigma®, I10™, L3™, PrincipalInsight™, Q12®, SE25™, SF34®, SRI®, Strengths Spotlight™, Strengths-Based Selling™, StrengthsCoach™, StrengthsFinder®, StrengthsQuest™, TeacherInsight™, The Gallup Path®, The Gallup Poll®, and Wellbeing Finder™ are trademarks of [...]
Bias Against a Mormon Presidential Candidate Same as in 1967
PRINCETON, NJ -- Eighteen percent of Americans say they would not vote for a well-qualified presidential candidate who happens to be a Mormon, virtually the same as the 17% who held this attitude in 1967. The exact percentage of Americans who resist the idea of voting for a Mormon has varied slightly over the eight times Gallup has asked the question, typically when a Mormon was running for president, including George Romney (1968 campaign), Orrin Hatch (2000 campaign), and Mitt Romney (2008 and 2012 campaigns). The percentage opposed to a Mormon president has averaged 19% since 1967 -- from a low of 17% at several points to a high of 24% in 2007. The current 18% is down from 22% a year ago. Gallup originally asked the question in April 1967, after Mitt Romney's father, Michigan Gov. [...]
Dems go crazy after poll has Obama Up by 13 Points? Dream On!
Guess we can all go home now. Obama up by 12 points over Mitt Romney. We can't find any other poll that is even close to this number. Politisite has the race within 3 points. A respected pollster finds President Obama to be way more popular than he's been in other surveys, while Obamacare remains unpopular and Mitt Romney has a long way to go in Wisconsin. Here's our guide to today's polls and why they matter. Findings: Obama is leading Romney among likely voters by 13 percentage points -- 53 percent to 40 percent. Pollster: Bloomberg/ Selzer & Company Methodology: Survey 1,002 adults, 734 of them likely voters, from June 15 to June 18. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Why it matters: Conventional wisdom holds that the last month has been nothing but [...]
