Comparing leaks two weeks ago with the final assessment of a UN climate change report issued yesterday, could easily lead to the conclusion that scientists and climate change data is being manipulated.
Leaked information of an impending UN International Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) report on climate change, asserted that computer models got the rate of global warming wrong. According to the leaked report, the globe warmed at a quarter of the rate previously reported by the IPCC in 2007.
With CO2 reduction high on the agenda of the European Union (EU), the Obama administration and the UN, the International Panel on Climate Change ((IPCC) issued its strongest statement yet on the effects of carbons on the globe.
“Human influence has been detected in warming of the atmosphere and the ocean, in changes in the global water cycle, in reductions in snow and ice, in global mean sea level rise, and in changes in some climate extremes,” the report said. “It is extremely likely that human influence has been the dominant cause of the observed warming since the mid-20th century.” New York Times
For the first time, the panel set upper limits for carbon emissions, establishing a target level at which humanity must stop spewing them into the atmosphere or face irreversible climatic changes.
“Climate change is the greatest challenge of our time. In short, it threatens our planet, our only home,” said Thomas F. Stocker, co-chairman of the ICPCC.
After the report was leaked on September 14, there were indications that the report’s findings and recommendations were written with pressure from member countries that objected to the initial findings of the report. With climate change and carbon emission reduction high on the agenda of the UN and most western countries, an admission of slowing growth of global warming, despite increased carbon emissions would detract from that agenda. Many countries have experienced higher energy costs due to their green agendas.
The panel struggled with the most controversial subject, which was dealing with the slowdown of global warming over the past 15 years. Naturally this made it difficult to reach a consensus and casts doubt on climate change. Governments had objections with earlier drafts of the report, going as far as calling for its deletion. In the end only a brief mention was made of the trend over the past 15 years.
European countries are struggling with emission standards, including Germany, which is under pressure from both business and the public for the increased energy costs. Germany, after its nuclear power plant shut down, was unable to provide green energy as planned. As a result coal powered plants were reactivated and resulted in higher carbon emissions.
Currently Germany is attempting to delay EU vehicle emission limits by four years.
Berlin wants to re-open and water down draft carbon dioxide goals agreed in June by introducing the phase-in period, under a proposal circulated by diplomats on Friday and seen by Reuters.
Chancellor Angela Merkel’s government is engaged in an uphill struggle to weaken the measures cutting new car emissions to 95 grams of CO2 per kilometer by 2020 – a major challenge for upmarket German automakers Daimler and BMW.
Germany has so far been unable to secure support from a blocking minority of EU governments to dilute the new rules, ahead of a vote expected next week.
Climate change advocates shrug off climate change skeptics and Secretary of State John Kerry called it a wake up call:
This is yet another wakeup call: Those who deny the science or choose excuses over action are playing with fire.
Once again, the science grows clearer, the case grows more compelling, and the costs of inaction grow beyond anything that anyone with conscience or common sense should be willing to even contemplate.
Boil down the IPCC report and here’s what you find: Climate change is real, it’s happening now, human beings are the cause of this transformation, and only action by human beings can save the world from its worst impacts.
This isn’t a run of the mill report to be dumped in a filing cabinet. This isn’t a political document produced by politicians.
“One can’t really draw any strong conclusions about a change in trend over a very short period like that,” said Dr. Greg Flato, a research scientist with Environment Canada and part of the Canadian delegation on the IPPC panel in Stockholm, Sweden.
“It’s clear from our understanding that [the Earth] will continue to warm as greenhouse gas concentrations rise in the atmosphere. CBC
A small but forceful chorus of scholars deny that humans cause significant global warming or that Earth is suffering from warming effects.
The Heartland Institute, a nonprofit group funded by individuals and corporations, denounced the IPCC’s findings in a statement, citing a competing report called Climate Change Reconsidered II, released about a week ago by the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change.
Consistent with the positions of the institute, which helped pay for it, the NIPCC found that “the human impact on climate is very small, and . . . any warming that may be due to human greenhouse gas emissions is likely to be so small as to be invisible,” said the institute’s president, Joseph Bast. Washington Post
The report says that it confirms that climate change and global warming is irrefutable. The problem is that it recommends that the EU pays more for carbon emissions than developing economies. It supports environmentalists and President Obama in their quest to curb carbon emissions, while China is the biggest contributor to global carbon emissions.
For President Obama and Secretary of State John Kerry it is yet another reason to delay or reject the XL Keystone pipeline. With mounting debt, soon to exceed $17 Trillion, the decision has to be weighed against mounting debt and the real dangers of climate change. The question is who is more believable?