SC Poll: Graham Highest Unfavorable Rating in SC GOP

Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC) approval appears to be lagging other major GOP figures in South Carolina due to his closeness with Senator John McCain (R-AZ). This according to a Clemson Poll conducted September 18-23rd.

Graham is up for re-election in 2014. Currently he has three primary challengers: State Senator Lee Bright, Richard Cash and Nancy Mace.

Internal polls report Graham polling at 49% suggesting he could face a runoff.

grahamCLEMSON, S.C. — With a year or less to go before the GOP primary of June 2014 and fall general midterm election, the incumbents of South Carolina’s senatorial and gubernatorial offices may decide to “stump the state” more often to reacquaint themselves with voters.

A new Clemson University Palmetto Poll finds Republican voters with mixed emotions about their key elected incumbents. South Carolina is a “red” state with Republicans holding the major statewide offices of U.S. Senator and Governor. This edition of the Palmetto Poll registered their popularity with 500 Republican voters who participated in two of the past three GOP primaries.

Republican voters are less familiar with U.S. Sen. Tim Scott, who was appointed in December 2012, than U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham and S.C. Gov. Nikki Haley. All three incumbents are candidates for re-election in November 2014. However, before the general election in the fall, all three must win a Republican primary in June.

“Republican primaries regularly attract about 20 percent of the registered voters, and they are more conservative and more ideological than voters in the general election,” said Clemson political science professor Dave Woodard. “It often happens that popular incumbents are derailed on the way to re-election by upstart challengers in GOP primaries.”

Large percentages of respondents knew their elected representatives, with results showing Graham at 99 percent, Haley at 97 percent and Scott at 74 percent recognition.

Even though recently appointed and not as well known, Scott had a more favorable rating with the Republican voters than 12-year incumbent Graham. About half of those surveyed had a favorable impression of Graham, while two-thirds of the base Republican vote favored Haley and Scott.

Graham
53% favorable 36% unfavorable 11% undecided
Scott
69% favorable 6% unfavorable 25% undecided
Haley
70% favorable 18% unfavorable 12% undecided

 

The Poll also queried respondents about their likelihood of re-electing the incumbent regardless of who runs against him/her next year. The answers reflect the loyalty each candidate inspires with frequent voters, measuring the core support of any incumbent in a heated election.

Results showed Scott has a stronger base of allegiance than the senior senator from South Carolina and that Scott still has people who don’t know who he is, Woodard said. Results also indicated that Haley is fairly well-liked by voters.

“Most incumbents have a “re-elect regardless” number in the 30s, so the governor’s numbers are quite strong,” Woodard said. “That cannot be said about Graham, his numbers show that more than two-thirds of the base GOP voters are unhappy with him, with almost 20 percent of them saying they would not vote for him in 2014.”

Respondents were asked why they disliked Graham in an open-ended question, and frequent responses were his lack of conservative principles, association with Sen. John McCain and tendency to compromise too much with Democrats.

Lindsey Graham
Nikki Haley
Tim Scott
Vote to re-elect regardless
31%
45%
39%
Depends on who runs
39%
33%
31%
Will not vote for this person
19%
13%
5%
Don’t know, no answer
11%
9%
25%

 

A frequently mentioned criticism of Graham was his stance in support of the Obama policy of using missiles in the Syrian crisis. A final question of the Palmetto Poll asked the GOP voters about this policy. Results showed more than two-thirds of the Republican voters (67 percent) oppose this policy and Graham’s position on the issue.

The poll was conducted Sept. 18-23, and the margin of error is plus or minus 5 percent.

About the Author

Albert Milliron is the founder of Politisite. Milliron has been credentialed by most major news networks for Presidential debates and major Political Parties for political event coverage. Albert maintains relationships with the White House and State Department to provide direct reporting from the Administration’s Press team. Albert is the former Public Relations Chairman of the Columbia County Republican Party in Georgia. He is a former Delegate. Milliron is a veteran of the US Army Medical Department and worked for Department of Veterans Affairs, Department of Psychiatry.

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