By Karl Gotthardt
The death of Muammed Gaddaffi, the “We Can’t Wait” campaign among others appear to have given President Obama a slight bump in the polls according to at least on poll conducted by Quinnipiac University. If the trend continues, it could give the President a competitive edge for the 2012 Presidential election.
The poll suggests that Obama improved his prospects against potential Republican rivals, leading Romney 47 percent to 42 percent, Perry by 52 percent to 36 percent and Cain by 50 percent to 40 percent. The poll also suggest that the President improved his approval rating among men from 60% approval – 31% disapproval, white voters 62% approval to 34% disapproval and women 50% to 46% disapproval.
“President Barack Obama seems to be improving in voters’ eyes almost across-the-board,” said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “He scores big gains among the groups with whom he has had the most problems – whites and men. Women also shift from a five-point negative to a four-point positive.
“Whether this is a blip, perhaps because of the death of Moammar Gadhafi and the slight improvement in some of the economic numbers, or the beginning of a sustained upward move in his popularity isn’t clear and won’t be for some time. Nevertheless, the movement allows the White House a sigh of relief, for the president’s approval had been stuck in the low 40s for some time and even a temporary upward move is good news for the folks at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave.” Source: Quinnipiac University Poll
The poll was conducted October 25 to 31st, just after the death of Gaddafi and the news of slight growth in the U.S. economy. While the unemployment rate remains unchanged at 9.1%, it was positive news for a change. Obama also appears to be having some moderate success demonizing the congressional Republicans with his “We Can’t Wait” campaign.
Whether or not this is a short lived bump remains to be seen. While this is an improvement over previous polls, incumbent Presidents generally need approval ratings in the high forties and preferably over 50% to win re-election.