Florida Straw Poll Results
AND THE WINNER IS…
Today at the Republican Party of Florida’s Presidency 5, 2,657 delegates cast their votes in the Party’s straw poll. The results of that straw poll are in and are as follows:
- Herman Cain, 37.1%
- Rick Perry, 15.4%
- Mitt Romney, 14.0%
- Rick Santorum, 10.9%
- Ron Paul, 10.4%
- Newt Gingrich, 8.4%
- Jon Huntsman, 2.3%
- Michele Bachmann, 1.5%
by Albert N. Milliron
(Orlando)– Florida will hold it’s straw poll today, September 24, 2011 at 4:30 – 6:00 p.m. The results are to be announced close to 6:00 p.m. after the votes are certified.
This year in Ames there where your usual tents that hand Live Music, good food, and hand outs for all of the participants. Many of the candidates Bused in their people and paid for thousands of tickets. The candidate with the least money this year was Michigan Congressman Thad McCotter. McCotter played Guitar with a band that included family members. He handed out something like Freeze Pops.
Even with the candidates paying for nearly everything, the participants are not required to vote for the candidate that provided the gifts, doing so would be illegal. The candidates do their best to keep control of their group and make sure they get to the polling area. Hoping that they had provided the best overall experience and made sure they shook enough hands to win the poll.
So at the Ames Straw poll you can bus in nearly anyone, hand him, her or the dog a ticket and try to get them to cast a vote for your or your candidate. In Florida you must be a delegate who has been involved in the process and worked your way up. A delegate is a representative of the people in their City, County or District. The outcome of these two types of straw polls can be different because of the process involved.
Today’s straw poll organizers brag that the winner of each poll here has gone on to become the Republican Nominee. These are the same bragging rights that those in South Carolina use, as the winner of the First in the South primary has gone on to win the GOP nomination for the last forty years.
So today, we will see if the Florida tradition continues. The results will be broadcasted live on the Stream below and the results will be posted here as soon as the numbers are announced.
What we are hearing from people on the Conference floor: Rick Perry may not get the win here today as was expected before the Conference. Many folks are disappointed at his debate performance.
Mitt Romney has positive remarks and the gap between Perry and Romney is probably closing.
Herman Cain has gained a great deal of Momentum by his debate performance and his speeches. The Buzz is he will do very well in the Straw poll today.
Gingrich is liked for his intellectual abilities and his debate performance was better than the prior debates. There is still concern about his personal life and his approval ratings by independents in the polls.
Santorum has gained some momentum following his debate. Social conservatives like him.
Bachmann seems to have lost momentum and is not expected to win as she did here in Iowa.
Here is where Politisite makes its Politisite Political Prediction – This one is much more difficult than Iowa. Florida is not a Southern state politically. Most of Florida is like Northeast and Midwest. The term is losing it’s definition but there are many Rockefeller Republicans here. There are some exceptions, The Florida panhandle is very socially conservative. Florida can be considered a “purple” state meaning it swings from Republican to Democrat.
We think That Perry will not win today even though he is, “going all out” as we heard it said here. We think Romney will top the ticket even though he is not participating in any Straw Polls. Behind Romney we think Cain will be second. Bachmann is beginning to have financial troubles, so she is not putting a lot of resources here. So here is our list. We give it a confidence level of 35%. Meaning I wouldn’t bet on it. In Iowa we had a confidence level of 90%.
We have really put our reputation on the line as Romney is not even interested in this event. There is the ‘second thought’ part of me that says Cain could win this thing. Am I wrong? Tell us your list in the Comments.
Check back at 6:00 p.m. for the results.
Presidential Candidate Remarks
1:35 p.m. – 4:30 p.m.
Presidential Straw Poll
4:30 p.m. – 6:00 p.m.
Waiting for results from Fla. straw poll – Video