Politisite Political Projections vs. 2010 House Final Results

Politisite Political Projections for the House of Representatives called for a 53 +/- 4  which translated to +49-+57 gain for the GOP.  Actual results were a bit higher at +61 seats.  Our analysis beat most pollsters projections for the House.

Democrat Republican
AL2 Bright  49% Roby  51% (100%) GOP Pickup
AL5 Raby  42% Brooks  58% (100%) GOP Hold
AZ1 Kirkpatrick  44% Gosar  50% (100%) GOP Pickup
AZ3 Hulburd  41% Quayle  52% (100%) GOP Hold
AZ5 Mitchell  43% Schweikert  52% (100%) GOP Pickup
AZ7 Grijalva  49% McClung  45% (100%) Dem Hold
AZ8 Giffords  49% Kelly  47% (100%) Dem Hold
AR1 Causey  43% Crawford  52% (100%) GOP Pickup
AR2 Elliott  38% Griffin  58% (100%) GOP Pickup
AR4 Ross  58% Rankin  40% (100%) Dem Hold
CA3 Bera  43% Lungren  50% (100%) GOP Hold
CA11 McNerney  48% Harmer  47% (100%)
CA18 Cardoza  58% Berryhill  42% (100%) Dem Hold
CA20 Costa  49% Vidak  51% (100%)
CA45 Pougnet  42% Mack  52% (100%) GOP Hold
CA47 Sanchez  51% Tran  42% (100%) Dem Hold
CO3 Salazar  46% Tipton  50% (100%) GOP Pickup
CO4 Markey  41% Gardner  53% (98%) GOP Pickup
CO7 Perlmutter  53% Frazier  42% (98%) Dem Hold
CT1 Larson  61% Brickley  37% (100%) Dem Hold
CT2 Courtney  60% Peckinpaugh  39% (100%) Dem Hold
CT4 Himes  53% Debicella  47% (100%) Dem Hold
CT5 Murphy  54% Caligiuri  46% (99%) Dem Hold
DEAL Carney  57% Urquhart  41% (100%) Dem Pickup
FL2 Boyd  41% Southerland  54% (100%) GOP Pickup
FL8 Grayson  38% Webster  56% (100%) GOP Pickup
FL12 Edwards  41% Ross  48% (100%) GOP Hold
FL22 Klein  46% West  54% (100%) GOP Pickup
FL24 Kosmas  40% Adams  60% (100%) GOP Pickup
FL25 Garcia  42% Rivera  53% (100%) GOP Hold
GA2 Bishop  51% Keown  49% (100%) Dem Hold
GA8 Marshall  47% Scott  53% (100%) GOP Pickup
GA12 Barrow  57% McKinney  43% (100%) Dem Hold
HI1 Hanabusa  53% Djou  47% (100%) Dem Pickup
ID1 Minnick  41% Labrador  51% (100%) GOP Pickup
IL8 Bean  48% Walsh  49% (100%)
IL10 Seals  49% Dold  51% (100%) GOP Hold
IL11 Halvorson  43% Kinzinger  57% (100%) GOP Pickup
IL14 Foster  45% Hultgren  51% (100%) GOP Pickup
IL17 Hare  43% Schilling  53% (100%) GOP Pickup
IN2 Donnelly  48% Walorski  47% (100%) Dem Hold
IN8 Haaften  37% Bucshon  58% (100%) GOP Pickup
IN9 Hill  42% Young  52% (100%) GOP Pickup
IA1 Braley  49% Lange  48% (100%) Dem Hold
IA2 Loebsack  51% Miller-Meeks  46% (100%) Dem Hold
IA3 Boswell  51% Zaun  47% (100%) Dem Hold
KS3 Moore  38% Yoder  59% (100%) GOP Pickup
KY3 Yarmuth  55% Lally  44% (100%) Dem Hold
KY6 Chandler  50% Barr  50% (100%)
LA2 Richmond  65% Cao  33% (100%) Dem Pickup
LA3 Sangisetty  36% Landry  64% (100%) GOP Pickup
ME1 Pingree  57% Scontras  43% (98%) Dem Hold
ME2 Michaud  55% Levesque  45% (99%) Dem Hold
MD1 Kratovil  41% Harris  55% (100%) GOP Pickup
MA4 Frank  54% Bielat  43% (100%) Dem Hold
MA5 Tsongas  55% Golnik  42% (100%) Dem Hold
MA6 Tierney  57% Hudak  43% (100%) Dem Hold
MA10 Keating  47% Perry  42% (100%) Dem Hold
MI1 McDowell  41% Benishek  52% (100%) GOP Pickup
MI7 Schauer  45% Walberg  50% (100%) GOP Pickup
MI9 Peters  50% Raczkowski  47% (100%) Dem Hold
MI15 Dingell  57% Steele  40% (100%) Dem Hold
MN1 Walz  50% Demmer  44% (100%) Dem Hold
MN6 Clark  40% Bachmann  52% (100%) GOP Hold
MN7 Peterson  55% Byberg  38% (100%) Dem Hold
MN8 Oberstar  47% Cravaack  48% (100%) GOP Pickup
MS1 Childers  41% Nunnelee  55% (100%) GOP Pickup
MS2 Thompson  62% Marcy  37% (100%) Dem Hold
MS4 Taylor  47% Palazzo  52% (100%) GOP Pickup
MO3 Carnahan  49% Martin  47% (100%) Dem Hold
MO4 Skelton  45% Hartzler  50% (100%) GOP Pickup
MO5 Cleaver  53% Turk  44% (100%) Dem Hold
NE2 White  39% Terry  61% (100%) GOP Hold
NV3 Titus  47% Heck  48% (100%) GOP Pickup
NH1 Shea-Porter  43% Guinta  54% (100%) GOP Pickup
NH2 Kuster  47% Bass  48% (100%) GOP Pickup
NJ3 Adler  47% Runyan  50% (100%) GOP Pickup
NJ6 Pallone  54% Little  44% (100%) Dem Hold
NJ12 Holt  53% Sipprelle  46% (100%) Dem Hold
NM1 Heinrich  52% Barela  48% (100%) Dem Hold
NM2 Teague  45% Pearce  55% (100%) GOP Pickup
NM3 Lujan  57% Mullins  43% (100%) Dem Hold
NY1 Bishop  50% Altschuler  50% (100%)
NY2 Israel  56% Gomez  43% (100%) Dem Hold
NY4 McCarthy  54% Becker  46% (100%) Dem Hold
NY13 McMahon  48% Grimm  51% (100%) GOP Pickup
NY19 Hall  47% Hayworth  53% (100%) GOP Pickup
NY20 Murphy  45% Gibson  55% (100%) GOP Pickup
NY22 Hinchey  52% Phillips  48% (100%) Dem Hold
NY23 Owens  48% Doheny  46% (100%) Dem Hold
NY24 Arcuri  47% Hanna  53% (100%) GOP Pickup
NY25 Maffei  50% Buerkle  50% (100%)
NY27 Higgins  61% Roberto  39% (100%) Dem Hold
NY29 Zeller  44% Reed  56% (100%) GOP Pickup
NC2 Etheridge  48% Ellmers  50% (100%) GOP Pickup
NC4 Price  57% Lawson  43% (100%) Dem Hold
NC7 McIntyre  54% Pantano  46% (100%) Dem Hold
NC8 Kissell  53% Johnson  44% (100%) Dem Hold
NC11 Shuler  54% Miller  46% (100%) Dem Hold
NC13 Miller  55% Randall  45% (100%) Dem Hold
NDAL Pomeroy  45% Berg  55% (100%) GOP Pickup
OH1 Driehaus  45% Chabot  52% (100%) GOP Pickup
OH6 Wilson  45% Johnson  50% (100%) GOP Pickup
OH10 Kucinich  53% Corrigan  44% (100%) Dem Hold
OH12 Brooks  37% Tiberi  60% (100%) GOP Hold
OH13 Sutton  55% Ganley  45% (100%) Dem Hold
OH15 Kilroy  38% Stivers  57% (100%) GOP Pickup
OH16 Boccieri  41% Renacci  52% (100%) GOP Pickup
OH18 Space  40% Gibbs  54% (100%) GOP Pickup
OK2 Boren  57% Thompson  43% (100%) Dem Hold
OR1 Wu  55% Cornilles  42% (99%) Dem Hold
OR4 DeFazio  53% Robinson  45% (100%) Dem Hold
OR5 Schrader  51% Bruun  46% (99%) Dem Hold
PA3 Dahlkemper  44% Kelly  56% (100%) GOP Pickup
PA4 Altmire  51% Rothfus  49% (100%) Dem Hold
PA6 Trivedi  43% Gerlach  57% (100%) GOP Hold
PA7 Lentz  44% Meehan  55% (98%) GOP Pickup
PA8 Murphy  46% Fitzpatrick  54% (100%) GOP Pickup
PA10 Carney  45% Marino  55% (100%) GOP Pickup
PA11 Kanjorski  45% Barletta  55% (100%) GOP Pickup
PA12 Critz  51% Burns  49% (100%) Dem Hold
PA13 Schwartz  56% Adcock  44% (100%) Dem Hold
PA15 Callahan  39% Dent  54% (100%) GOP Hold
PA17 Holden  56% Argall  44% (100%) Dem Hold
RI1 Cicilline  51% Loughlin  44% (100%) Dem Hold
SC5 Spratt  45% Mulvaney  55% (100%) GOP Pickup
SDAL Sandlin  46% Noem  48% (100%) GOP Pickup
TN4 Davis  39% DesJarlais  57% (100%) GOP Pickup
TN5 Cooper  56% Hall  42% (100%) Dem Hold
TN6 Carter  29% Black  67% (100%) GOP Pickup
TN8 Herron  39% Fincher  59% (100%) GOP Pickup
TX15 Hinojosa  56% Zamora  41% (100%) Dem Hold
TX17 Edwards  36% Flores  62% (100%) GOP Pickup
TX23 Rodriguez  44% Canseco  49% (100%) GOP Pickup
TX25 Doggett  53% Campbell  45% (100%) Dem Hold
TX27 Ortiz  47% Farenthold  48% (100%) GOP Pickup
UT2 Matheson  51% Philpot  46% (100%) Dem Hold
VA2 Nye  43% Rigell  53% (100%) GOP Pickup
VA5 Perriello  47% Hurt  51% (100%) GOP Pickup
VA9 Boucher  47% Griffith  51% (100%) GOP Pickup
VA11 Connolly  49% Fimian  49% (100%)
WA2 Larsen  51% Koster  49% (90%)
WA3 Heck  47% Herrera  53% (97%) GOP Pickup
WA6 Dicks  58% Cloud  42% (91%) Dem Hold
WA8 DelBene  46% Reichert  54% (81%) GOP Hold
WA9 Smith  54% Muri  46% (86%) Dem Hold
WI3 Kind  50% Kapanke  47% (100%) Dem Hold
WI7 Lassa  44% Duffy  52% (100%) GOP Pickup
WI8 Kagen  45% Ribble  55% (100%) GOP Pickup
WV1 Oliverio  50% McKinley  50% (100%) GOP Pickup
WV3 Rahall  55% Maynard  45% (100%) Dem Hold

via RealClearPolitics – 2010 Election Maps – House Final Results.

About the Author

Politisite delivers the latest Breaking Political News, Debate Coverage, Election Results, Commentary and Analysis. We provide in-depth news with special reports and interactive political coverage. Politisite was a pioneer in internet political news gathering and dissemination. Politisite came live in early 1998 and become the first internet only news source to cover local, state, and national political campaigns, debates and elections. Before there were the terms Blog, Blogger, New Media, or Crowd-sourcing, Politisite was developing what has become the standard in political news coverage, long before most political sites were even conceived. The Name ‘Politisite” simply means Political Website.

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