There are two ways to count votes for the Democrats’ national health care plan. The first is to tally the lawmakers who are definitely yes or leaning yes. The second is to count the ones who are definitely no and leaning no.
This is the way it breaks down. There are 431 members of the House, 253 Democrats and 178 Republicans. All the Republicans oppose the bill. At the moment, GOP sources believe that more than 30 — they think it’s 31 — Democrats are opposed. Those Democrats are motivated by a variety of concerns. “It’s abortion, it’s cost control, it’s taxes, it’s Medicare, and for some of them, it’s just their district,” says the GOP source.
Of the 18 Democrats who are undecided, Republicans will have to win seven votes to prevail, provided Republicans do in fact have 209 votes now. The Democratic leadership would have to win over 12 undecideds, if in fact Democrats are at 204 now.